Diewar in ukraineis approaching its first anniversary, but theEraon the floor is still old.
As the two sides prepare for another round of large-scale offensive and counteroffensive operations, the war appears to be over.no end in sight.
Ukraine is finally getting some of thatweapon systemsthat will help break thoserussian defenseBut with deliveries weeks and months away, the situation on the ground isn't going to change much anytime soon.
On the other hand,the russian armyhas created extensive defensive positions across the battlefield and is also gathering forces for a full-scale offensive.
The time and place of the attack are still in doubt.
On the 341st day of the war in Ukraine, theThe bloodshed continues.
Russian Casualties in Ukraine: Update
In general, the Ministry of Defense of Ukraineclaim (isthat Ukrainian forces had killed an estimated 126,650 Russian troops (and wounded about two to three times that number) as of Monday
Destroyed weapons include:293 combat, attack, bomber and transport aircraft, 284 attack and transport helicopters, 3,201armored, 2,196 artillery pieces, 6,369 armored personnel carriers and infantry fighting vehicles, 453 multiple launch rocket systems (MLRS), 18 boats and cutters, 5,041 vehicles and fuel tanks, 221 anti-aircraft batteries, 1,947 tactical air systems drones, 199 special equipment platforms such as bridge vehicles and four mobile Iskander missile systems, as well as 796 cruise missiles shot down by Ukrainian air defenses.
Another partial mobilization?
Despite a reserve of around 150,000 troopsthe russian armyit needs more men, especially to sustain the next offensives that Moscow has planned.
According to the latest estimate of British military intelligence, another wave of mobilizations could happen soon. Like the first time in September, everyonemobilizationit is probably biased, calling up specific groups of reservists.
Last week, Russian media reported that Russian border guards are preventing Russian citizens with dual nationality from leaving the country because their names are on mobilization lists.
When the Kremlin called the first partial mobilization in September, hundreds of thousands of eligible Russian men fled the country to avoid the draft. looks like thisRussian governmentexpect another mass exodus with a new mobilization.
Furthermore, Russian presidential spokesman Dmitry Peskov recently stated that the decree regulating the first partial mobilization is still in force and indicated that it could be used at any time to recruit more men to support the "special military operation" to be called. .Ukraine.
"Russian leadership will likely continue to explore ways to manage the large numbers of personnel needed for a future major offensive in Ukraine, while minimizing internal resistance," British military intelligence said.classifiedin his latest estimate of the war.
However, ordering a mobilization carries an inherent political risk, and the Kremlin will not do so unless it has no other choice.
Russian President Vladimir Putinhe understands that the best way to continue the conflict without a major domestic political backlash is not to piss off the average Russian.
So far, on average, the Russian population has shown a vague neutrality towards the war.
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Expert biography:AN19FortyFive Defense and Homeland Security Columnist,Stavros Atlamazoglouis a veteran defense journalist specializing inSpecial operations, a veteran of the Hellenic Army (national service with the 575th Marine Battalion and Army Headquarters) and a graduate of Johns Hopkins University. His work was featured inBusiness Insider,sandbox x, youSOFREP.
In this article:Military,put on,Russia,russian military,Ukraine,war in ukraine
Written byStavros Atlamazoglou
Stavros Atlamazoglou, a 1945 Defense and Homeland Security columnist, is a veteran defense journalist with special operations experience, a veteran of the Greek Army (national service with the 575th Marine Battalion and Army Headquarters) and a graduate of Johns Hopkins University. His work has been featured on Business Insider, Sandboxx and SOFREP.
Angry drunk Russian bear with balalaika
January 30, 2023 at 9:21 am
WHY DOES THE AUTHOR WRITE ABOUT RUSSIA'S LOSSES IN UKRAINE'S FORGET, BUT BE SILENT ABOUT UKRAINE'S LOSSES?
The Ukrainian army has suffered many casualties, which is why it is sending 15-year-olds to the front lines, Colonel Douglas McGregor, a former adviser to the head of the Pentagon, said on his YouTube channel. “Ukrainians suffered terrible losses. 35,000 disappeared, over 100,000 died. You start adding these numbers up and you find out that there are 150,000 military personnel. Now they are trying to mobilize young people aged 13, 14 and 15 who are disabled. They are literally scraping off the remains,” the official said. US Lieutenant Colonel Davis – Ukrainian Army collapses due to heavy casualties. Ukraine's military is in danger of collapsing if it continues to suffer heavy casualties, according to retired US Lt. Col. Daniel Davis. “It is difficult to overestimate the damage inflicted on the Ukrainian army, especially for tactical platoon, company and battalion commanders,” writes the lieutenant colonel, adding that the losses deprive Kyiv of the opportunity to mount a counteroffensive. He is quoted by the portal 19FortyFive. On November 10, 2022, US Army General Mark Alexander Milli, General of the US Army, 20th Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, former 39th Chief of Staff of the US Army, named the casualties of the parties in the conflict that took place on the territory of Ukraine. According to him, Ukraine lost more than 100,000 soldiers killed and wounded. The general added that around 40,000 civilians were killed in the clashes. According to figures published by EC chief Ursula von der Leyen, casualties in Ukraine since February 24, 2022 amounted to more than 100,000 troops and around 20,000 civilians. In a key interview with Newsweek, Ukraine's ambassador to Britain, Vadim Prystaiko, admitted that the Ukrainian armed forces are suffering huge casualties. “We're losing people everywhere. We are not announcing how many dead are military or civilian, but as you can imagine, the numbers are huge and indigestible. And cities, some of which were completely destroyed. And now TRY to refute these officials and experts.
January 30, 2023 at 11:30 am
The most interesting question is how much material is left in Russia? At least 50% of everything that Russia has accumulated over many decades has been used in Ukraine or destroyed. We know Russia has the manpower, but will we see human wave attacks like in the Iran-Iraq war because the Russians ran out of weapons and equipment?
January 30, 2023 at 1:50 pm
It is time for Europe to stop hiding behind the NATO treaty excuse and move troops and vast amounts of war material to the front lines in Ukraine. Does Europe deny? Just cowardly? Vague? Today the front line is a small part of Ukraine, but in fact Russia has declared war on the West. But the West chooses not to listen. It's worse than appeasement, it's deliberate stupidity.
It seems the Europeans are waiting for Britain and Uncle Sam to rescue them again. It's shameful.
January 30, 2023 at 7:16 pm
The war probably won't last much longer if the rumors are true. Russia appears to be planning a suicide attack across the battlefield in February. They will use all their strength for an all-out attack. It will be a butcher shop. Russians will die by the thousands. Ukrainians will only die after they have used up all their bullets. Russia may conquer a little more land, but after the wave breaks, the areas where Ukraine held the line will fall to Ukraine, and Russia will have nothing left behind. Ukraine will eliminate them and fall behind the Russians, completely without their meager supplies. And the second kill will begin. The Russian army will be completely decimated. Russian generals know this, but they cannot tell Putin. Is it their military or themselves who are at the thinning point. And they will sacrifice their army to save their own heads. But even that won't work. Once they fail, that will be the end of Putin and he will likely execute them for failure before he himself is removed. I think Russia wants to catch fire. It will be interesting to watch.